Interesting TED clip on modeling war and insurgency. Using a sample distribution and public data, his team statistically identified a signal pattern from Number of Attacks x Number Killed. A mathematical distribution with alpha = organizational structure.
They found this change in state in conflicts around the world as a constant: in Peru, Iraq, Afganhistan, Indonesia, etc.
Quite fascinating to think the Army can either dilute the opposition into fragments or drive the opposition together so they can sit them down at a table for negotiations? Hmmm?